Tutorial T5 (Half day – morning)
Infrastructure planning under uncertainty: flexibility, resilience and multi-energy systems application
- Mathaios Panteli, The University of Manchester, email@example.com
- Eduardo Alejandro Martínez Ceseña, The University of Manchester, firstname.lastname@example.org
- Rodrigo Moreno, Universidad de Chile and Imperial College London, email@example.com,
- Pierluigi Mancarella, The University of Manchester and The University of Melbourne, firstname.lastname@example.org
Traditional investment planning practices are becoming less effective in the energy sector as uncertainties increase due to the integration of renewable energies and low carbon technologies (e.g., electric vehicles), and the increasing frequency and severity of extreme events due to climate change (e.g., droughts, earthquakes, etc.). To tackle these challenges, new tools that properly capture uncertainty and extreme events are required to develop more resilient and adaptive energy systems by capitalizing on emerging smart solutions based on active network management and different energy vectors (e.g., electricity, heat, gas and water). This tutorial provides an overview of recently developed state-of-the-art investment planning tools which explicitly address uncertainty (e.g., decision and real options theory) related to highly uncertain system evolution and low probability high impact events. Real world studies from international research projects are used to demonstrate the tools with distribution and transmission networks, community multi-energy systems, and integrated water-energy mega systems.
|09:00-10:30||Infrastructure planning under uncertainty
– The different levels of uncertainty
– Decision theory, robust and flexible decisions
– New stochastic programming approaches
Infrastructure planning considering uncertain extreme events
– Differences between reliability and resilience
– Metrics: The resilience trapezoid
– Tools: Probabilistic impact assessment and optimization via simulation
– Novel probabilistic operational and planning methods
|10:45-12:15||Future and already emerging energy systems
Infrastructure planning for flexible and adaptive energy systems:
– Smart distribution networks: Flexible active network management to accommodate emerging low carbon technologies
– Building and community multi-energy systems: Use of multi-vector demand side flexibility to cope with uncertain demand growth, price variations and integration of low carbon technologies
Infrastructure planning for resilient energy systems:
– Resilient energy systems: development of optimal portfolios considering asset and non-asset solutions for stronger and smarter, more flexible transmission networks
– Water-Energy-Environment Mega systems: Planning future integrated mega systems in developing countries in light of climate change threats
|12:15-12:30||Questions and Answers|
Dr. Eduardo Alejandro Martínez Ceseña is a Research Associate in the School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering at the University of Manchester (UoM), UK. He received the BEng degree from the UABC (Mexico) in 2004, the MSc degree from ITM (Mexico) in 2008 and the PhD degree from the UoM in 2012, all in electrical engineering. Dr. Martínez Ceseña has co-authored 5 book chapters and over 40 research papers in high ranking journals and international conferences, and has participated in over 10 UK and international research projects. His research interests include decision making under deep uncertainty (Real Options theory), mathematical programming, power systems economics, business cases, distribution and transmission network planning, multi-energy systems, integrated electricity/heat/gas networks and whole energy systems.
Dr Mathaios Panteli is a Lecturer (Assistant Professor) in Power Systems in the Power and Energy Division, School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, The University of Manchester, UK. His main research interests focus on reliability, risk and resilience of future power networks, system integration of distributed energy resources and integrated modelling of co-dependent critical infrastructures. He has an extensive publication record in these areas and has been invited to give numerous seminars and talks in world-leading Universities, conferences and organizations. Dr Panteli is currently the co-chair and technical coordinator of the CIGRE WG4.47 “Power System Resilience” and an invited member in multiple working groups in IEEE and CIRED.
Dr. Rodrigo Moreno is an Assistant Professor at the Dept. of Electrical Engineering of the University of Chile and a Research Associate at the Dept. of Electrical and Electronic Engineering of Imperial College London. His research focuses on development of new concepts and models in electrical energy grids (resilience, reliability, risk and economics) through application of advanced stochastic and robust optimisation. Dr. Moreno has participated in a number of research and industry projects for various research councils, regulatory bodies, system operators, and electricity and gas companies in EU and the Americas, authoring more than 55 papers published in journals and conferences proceedings. Currently, he is the Chair of the Latin American Infrastructure Working Group and the Co-Chair of the PSOPE Natural Disaster Mitigation Measures and Operation Technologies WG, both at the Power and Energy Society of IEEE.
Prof Pierluigi Mancarella is Chair Professor of Electrical Power Systems at The University of Melbourne and part-time Professor of Smart Energy Systems at The University of Manchester, UK. He received the MSc and PhD degrees from the Politecnico di Torino, Italy, worked as a post-doc at Imperial College London, UK, and held several visiting positions in US, France, Chile, and China. His research interests include techno-economics of smart energy systems and reliability and resilience of future networks. He has been involved in/led around 50 research projects worldwide and actively engaged with energy policy in Europe. Pierluigi is author of several books and of over 200 research publications, an Editor in several prestigious journals, and an IEEE Power and Energy Society Distinguished Lecturer. He holds the 2017 veski Innovation Fellowship by the Victorian Government and led the Melbourne Energy Institute’s power system security assessment studies in support of the “Finkel Review”.